How Recent History Suggests Who Packers Take In 2024 NFL Draft
The 2024 NFL Draft is almost here, which means that we are so close to welcoming the new Green Bay Packers into the National Football League. This year, the Packers have 11 picks, including two second-round picks, in a deep draft class.
Green Bay will select 25th overall in the first round after falling in the NFC Divisional Round to the San Francisco 49ers. Looking back at recent history, we could use the past to determine who the Packers could draft this weekend.
Recent 25th Overall Picks In NFL Draft History
2023 - TE Dalton Kincaid - Buffalo Bills
2022 - C Tyler Linderbaum - Baltimore Ravens
2021 - RB Travis Etienne - Jacksonville Jaguars
2020 - WR Brandon Aiyuk - San Francisco 49ers
2019 - WR Hollywood Brown - Baltimore Ravens
2018 - TE Hayden Hurst - Baltimore Ravens
2017 - S Jabrill Peppers - Cleveland Browns
Trends: In 2012-2017 the pick was used on defense; in 2018-2023 the pick was used on offense
It's Been A While: First time the Packers are picking 25th since 2004 (Ahmad Carroll)
Recent Green Bay Packers Picks In NFL Draft History Under Brian Gutekunst
2023 - DE Lukas Van Ness - Iowa (9.39 RAS)
2022 - DE Devonte Wyatt - Georgia (9.66 RAS)
2022 - LB Quay Walker - Georgia (9.04 RAS)
2021 - CB Eric Stokes Georgia (9.37 RAS)
2020 - QB Jordan Love Utah State (8.46 RAS)
2019 - S Darnell Savage Maryland (9.25 RAS)
2019 - LB Rashan Gary Michigan (9.95 RAS)
2018 - CB Jaire Alexander (9.54 RAS)
Trends: Every first-round pick under Brian Gutekunst has had an 8.46 or higher Relative Athletic Score (RAS). This means it is very likely that the Packers' selection at 25th overall is a player with a high RAS score. This eliminates some top prospects like Georgia cornerback Kamari Lassiter (6.23).
2024 Draft Prospects With High RAS Scores
Here are some prospects with high RAS scores. The Packers' first-round pick is very likely to come from this list.
DT Byron Murphy II - Texas (9.02 RAS)
DT Darius Robinson - Missouri (8.83 RAS)
EDGE Chop Robinson - Penn State (9.69 RAS)
EDGE Jared Verse - Florida State (9.52 RAS)
LB Payton Wilson - NC State (9.81 RAS)
CB Quinyon Mitchell - Toledo (9.75 RAS)
CB Max Melton - Rutgers (9.68 RAS)
CB Nate Wiggins - Clemson (9.43 RAS)
CB Cooper DeJean - Iowa (9.89 RAS)
S Cole Bishop - Utah (9.81 RAS)
T Tyler Guyton - Oklahoma (9.71 RAS)
T Jordan Morgan - Arizona (9.23 RAS)
2024 NFL Draft Projections (from a Packers fan):
Who I Want Them To Draft: CB Cooper DeJean
Who I Expect Them To Draft: T Tyler Guyton
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