When it comes to Daily Fantasy Sports, or DFS, I love a good deal. When trying to take a look at each game week to week, I compare the price to the expected fantasy total using fantasypros.com, as well as rank for the defense they are matching up against. Let’s take a look at the upcoming Lions vs Eagles game this Sunday.
Lions Best Value Players
D’ANDRE SWIFT – A true boom or bust player here. On one hand, we have some analysts, such as Jason Moore from the popular podcast The Fantasy Footballers saying, “This year’s Christian Macaffrey” and then the following week yahoo sports putting out a piece recently tabbing him as the most overhyped pick in the second round. Well, pass me the Honolulu Blue Kool-Aid because he is going to start his breakout season against an Eagles defense that gave up the 27th most fantasy points to running backs last year.
The Lions have a revamped O-Line that is ranked third according to PFF, which should be able to get him off to a hot start this season. With a $6800 price tag, he will be able to outperform the price and is one of the best values for the RB position this week.
Price – $6800
Projected Week One Points According to FantasyPros – 16.7 pts
TJ Hockenson – It is no secret to anyone that one of the Eagles’ weaknesses last year was their inability to cover tight ends. Eagles ranked 29th in total fantasy points given up to the tight end position and often saw themselves falling behind in games that featured a star tight end. Hockenson may not have reached star level, but he did get 11 targets last year when facing Philly. If he can receive double-digit targets, then he is worth that low price tag of $4900.
Price – $4900
Projected Week One – 10.1 pts
Dallas Goedert – With how bad Philly was against the TE position, the Lions are not much better. They came in with an average of 11.62 pts given up to TE, which is within one point of Philly. Linebacker is still a question for the Lions, which means the middle of the field is one of its weakest points. Philly should look to capitalize on Detroit’s weakness. With a top three O-Line and a ton of buzz about Jalen Hurts taking leaps in accuracy at camp, it sets Goedart up for a great week in DFS.
Price – $4800
Projected Week One – 10.3 pts
Lions Worst Value Players
Jared Goff – This game is building up to be won in the trenches, whichever team can establish the line of scrimmage will end up the victor. This will not bode well for this veteran. Goff will be going up against a tough Eagles secondary and a great pass rush led by former first-round pick Fletcher Cox. Even with the Eagles ranked 24th in points given up to the QB position it was mainly mobile QBs who gave them trouble, which Goff is not.
Price – $5400
Projected Week One – 15.7
Amon-Ra St. Brown – The late-season thriller from last year will have to hold his horses for this week. Amon Ra will likely be blanketed by former Lion and All-Pro cornerback Darius Slay. Slay and that secondary led the Eagles to the least amount of fantasy points given up to the WR position, and it wasn’t close. With a price tag of $6100, he is grossly overvalued this week.
Price – $6100
Projected Week One – 12.9 pts
AJ Brown – One of the many WRs this offseason that saw their teams change. AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts may have gone to college together but the buzz in camp is they are still working out the kinks with their connection. The problem with AJ Brown for this week is his price. At a $6400 price tag, it places him as the ninth most expensive receiver. With only 14.9 points expected, he is on the more expensive side.
There are other options at receiver that provide a better match-up and are cheaper (M. Brown vs KC – $6200, D. Moore vs CLE – $6000 and M. Pittman vs HOU – $5500). If you wanted to start an Eagle receiver this week D. Smith at $5500 is a better option.
Price – $6400
Projected Week One – 14.9 pts