UFC Tampa is heating up with Covington vs. Buckley leading the charge. Dive into the best bets and stats for this high-stakes Fight Night clash!

Colby Covington delivers a powerful punch in the octagon
Colby Covington delivers a powerful punch in the octagon.
Joaquin Buckley flexes after his UFC win
Joaquin Buckley flexes after his UFC win.

UFC Tampa at Amalie Arena: A Tradition of Thrills

The octagon is heating up in Tampa as Colby Covington and Joaquin Buckley headline one of the most highly anticipated UFC Fight Night events of the year. The UFC returns to Tampa’s Amalie Arena, a venue with a rich history of hosting unforgettable MMA action. This time, Covington and Buckley step into the octagon, bringing their contrasting styles and explosive potential to a city that knows how to celebrate fight night. Covington’s relentless wrestling meets Buckley’s knockout power in a clash that’s as much about strategy as it is about fireworks. Whether you’re tuning in for the action or looking to make some smart wagers, this article has you covered with the best bets and insights for this electrifying matchup.


Statistic Colby Covington Joaquin Buckley
Height 5’11” (180 cm) 5’10” (178 cm)
Weight 170 lbs (77 kg) 170 lbs (77 kg)
Age 36 years old 30 years old
Reach 72″ (183 cm) 76″ (193 cm)
Stance Orthodox Southpaw
Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM) 3.88 4.13
Significant Striking Accuracy 52% 40%
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute (SApM) 2.98 3.20
Significant Strike Defense 55% 57%
Takedown Average per 15 Minutes 3.79 1.96
Takedown Accuracy 44% 46%
Takedown Defense 67% 69%
Knockout Rate 18% (3 KOs in 17 wins) 70% (14 KOs in 20 wins)

Covington’s Relentless Pace vs. Buckley’s Explosive Power

Tampa’s UFC Fight Night “Covington vs. Buckley” is the classic tale of contrasting styles. This fight is a masterclass in contrasting styles. Colby Covington, known for his relentless cardio and grinding pace, averages a remarkable 3.79 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 44 percent takedown accuracy. His game plan revolves around constant pressure, controlling the fight on the ground, and outlasting his opponents. Joaquin Buckley, on the other hand, is a powerhouse striker with a devastating 70 percent knockout rate (14 from 20 wins). While Covington thrives on wearing his opponents down, Buckley’s explosive striking and ability to finish fights make him a constant threat from the opening bell.

Best Wagers for Covington vs. Buckley Using Sportsbook Lines From Hard Rock Bet:

  • Fight to Go the Distance (-130): Covington’s grappling-heavy style often leads to fights going the full 15 or 25 minutes. Buckley, while known for his explosive finishes, has shown durability in past fights. This bet offers great value.
  • Covington to Win by Decision (+160): Covington’s victories typically come via decision, where he outpaces and outworks his opponents. This is a safer bet for cautious bettors.
  • Buckley to Win by KO or DQ (+170): Buckley’s highlight-reel knockouts make him a constant threat. If he can find an opening against Covington, he has the power to deliver a game-changing finish.
Logos of top sportsbooks including ESPN Bet, Caesars Sportsbook, FanDuel, Hard Rock Bet, BetMGM, Bet365, DraftKings, and the UFC logo displayed against a gray background
A showcase of leading sportsbooks like ESPN Bet, Caesars Sportsbook, and FanDuel, alongside UFC branding.

Betting Insights: Why “Go the Distance” Bets Work

Betting on fights to go the distance can be a profitable strategy, especially in matchups like this one where the fighters’ styles complement such outcomes. Covington’s grind-heavy approach and Buckley’s tendency to survive against grapplers make the distance bet (+120) particularly enticing.

UFC Trends:

  • Approximately 45 percent of all UFC fights go to decision.
  • Welterweight bouts, in particular, see a higher decision rate due to grappling-heavy matchups.

Undercard Gems: Additional Betting Options

The main event isn’t the only place to find value. Here are some undercard fights worth considering:

Top Bets: Fights to Go the Distance

  • J. Lindgren Knutsson vs. P. Rodriguez – Fight to Go the Distance (-400): Both fighters bring technical precision and patience to the octagon, making a decision outcome highly probable in this matchup.
  • Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva – Fight to Go the Distance (-160): Kape’s well-rounded skillset and Silva’s toughness make this an intriguing battle that is likely to go the distance. Both fighters have shown the ability to avoid finishes in their UFC careers.
  • S. Woodson vs. F. Padilla – Fight to Go the Distance (-200): Woodson’s reach advantage and high-volume striking, combined with Padilla’s defensive abilities, make this fight a strong candidate for a decision.
  • M. John vs. F. Lima – Fight to Go the Distance (-225): John’s cardio and control-oriented style, coupled with Lima’s ability to defend and counter effectively, suggest this fight will likely end in a decision.

Since Hard Rock Bet is the only legal sportsbook in Florida, here’s my five-leg parlay example of fights that are likely to go the distance.

A 5-leg UFC parlay bet slip showcasing potential payout and details of the selected bets
A potential $20 wager with a $155.73 payout for a 5-leg parlay bet on UFC Fight Night.

If you’re a fan of parlays, this five-leg bet (+679) focuses on fights expected to go the distance using lines from Hard Rock Bets:

  • Covington vs. Buckley – Fight to Go the Distance (-130)
  • J. Lindgren Knutsson vs. P. Rodriguez – Fight to Go the Distance (-400)
  • Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva – Fight to Go the Distance (-160)
  • S. Woodson vs. F. Padilla – Fight to Go the Distance (-200)
  • M. John vs. F. Lima – Fight to Go the Distance (-225)

For detailed odds and betting strategies, visit DraftKings or Best Fight Odds.

Final Thoughts: Play Smart, Bet Smarter

UFC Tampa promises to deliver unforgettable moments, and the Covington vs. Buckley main event is the perfect mix of strategy and chaos. Whether you’re betting on Covington’s grind, Buckley’s power, or exploring the value in the undercard, the key is to play smart and bet responsibly.

What’s your pick for the main event? Will Covington’s cardio or Buckley’s explosiveness steal the show? Share your thoughts and wagers in the comments below!

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