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Week 10 SEC Picks, Best Bets, And Analysis.

Week 10 of the SEC slate has multiple games that will play a large role in who ends up in Atlanta for the SEC Championship.


Two division elimination games are taking place this week. Missouri heads to Athens to play Georgia and LSU heads for Tuscaloosa to take on the Crimson Tide.


Let's get into this week's picks and best bets.


11:00 AM Kickoffs


Texas A&M at #11 Ole Miss


Game Information:

Location: Oxford Stadium

Channel: ESPN


Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Odds:

Spread: Ole Miss -3 (-110), Texas A&M +3 (-110)

O/U: 54.5 (-110)

ML: Ole Miss -150, Texas A&M +125


Season Performances:

Season Records: Ole Miss (7-1), Texas A&M (5-3)

ATS: Ole Miss (6-2), Texas A&M (4-4)

O/U: Ole Miss (3-5), Texas A&M (4-4)

Home/Away: Ole Miss (5-0 H), Texas A&M (0-2 A)

Team Streak: Ole Miss (W4), Texas A&M (W1)


What To Bet and Why:

No reason to get cute here. Ole Miss is a better football team and hasn't lost at home this year. Avoid the spread and take Ole Miss ML which is only at -150 compared to -110 for the spread.


Best Bet:

Ole Miss ML -150


UConn at #19 Tennessee


Game Information:

Location: Neyland Stadium

Channel: ESPN


UConn vs Tennessee Odds:

Spread: Tennessee -35.5 (-105), UConn +35.5 (-115)

O/U: 54.5 (-110)

ML: N/A


Season Performances:

Season Records: Tennessee (6-2), UConn (1-7)

ATS: Tennessee (5-3), UConn (4-4)

O/U: Tennessee (4-3-1), UConn (3-5)

Home/Away: Tennessee (4-0 H), UConn (0-5)

Team Streak: Tennessee (W1), UConn (L2)


What To Bet and Why:

Tennessee is exactly a five-touchdown favorite. I am never comfortable betting on a large favorite to cover a huge spread. Instead, let's look at the O/U. The number currently sits at 54.5 and I feel that Tennessee can get close to this number by themselves. We would need a very small production from the UConn offense to hit this over. I feel like this game will finish with a score of something like Tennessee 45 and UConn 13 which would smash the over.


Best Bet:

O 54.5


Arkansas at Florida


Game Information:

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Channel: ESPN2


Arkansas vs Florida Odds:

Spread: Florida -6 (-110), Arkansas +6 (-110)

O/U: 49.5 (-110)

ML: Florida (-245), Arkansas (+205)


Season Performances:

Season Records: Florida (5-3), Arkansas (2-6)

ATS: Florida (3-5), Arkansas (4-4)

O/U: Florida (4-3-1), Arkansas (4-3-1)

Home/Away: Florida (4-0 H), Arkansas (0-3 A)

Team Streak: Florida (L1), Arkansas (L6)


What To Bet and Why:

Florida is a game away from bowl eligibility and coach Billy Napier knows that. He's going to have this team ready to go after their loss to Georgia. Arkansas is under immense turmoil and this game will be Sam Pittman's last as the head coach of the Razorbacks. That doesn't feel right to say but here we are.


Best Bet:

Florida -6


Jacksonville State at South Carolina


Game Information:

Location: Williams-Brice Stadium

Channel: ESPNU


Jacksonville State vs South Carolina Odds:

Spread: South Carolina -15.5 (-114), Jacksonville State +15.5 (-106)

O/U: 54.5

ML: South Carolina (-720), Jacksonville State (+500)


Season Performances:

Season Records: South Carolina (2-6), Jacksonville State (7-2)

ATS: South Carolina (4-4), Jacksonville State (6-2-1)

O/U: South Carolina (4-4), Jacksonville State (3-6)

Home/Away: South Carolina (2-1 H), Jacksonville State (3-1 A)

Team Streak: South Carolina (L4), Jacksonville State (W2)


What To Bet and Why:

Jacksonville State has a bye after this game so expect the Gamecocks from the C-USA to give the Gamecocks from the SEC to give them their best shot.


Best Bet:

Jacksonville State +15.5


2:30 PM Kickoff


#14 Missouri at #1 Georgia


Game Information:

Location: Sanford Stadium

Channel: CBS


Missouri vs Georgia Odds:

Spread: Georgia -15.5 (-110), Missouri +15.5 (-110)

O/U: 54.5

ML: Georgia -720, Missouri +500


Season Performances:

Season Records: Georgia (8-0), Missouri (7-1)

ATS: Georgia (3-5), Missouri (5-3)

O/U: Georgia (5-3), Missouri (6-2)

Home/Away: Georgia (5-0 H), Missouri (2-0 A)

Team Streak: Georgia (W8), Missouri (W2)


What To Bet and Why:

I have a parlay for this game. Without Brock Bowers, Dominic Lovett has become Carson Beck's favorite target. In the past two games, Lovett has amassed 13 catches and 155 yards. I also feel very comfortable saying Georgia wins in this matchup.


Best Bet:

Georgia ML and Dominic Lovett O 63.5 receiving yards


3:00 PM Kickoff


Auburn at Vanderbilt


Game Information:

Location: FirstBank Stadium

Channel: SECN


Auburn vs Vanderbilt Odds:

Spread: Auburn -12.5 (-110), Vanderbilt +12.5 (-110)

O/U: 49.5 (-110)

ML: Auburn -530, Vanderbilt +390


Season Performances:

Season Records: Auburn (4-4), Vanderbilt (2-7)

ATS: Auburn (3-5), Vanderbilt (1-8)

O/U: Auburn (3-4-1), Vanderbilt (7-1-1)

Home/Away: Auburn (1-2 A), Vanderbilt (2-3)

Team Streak: Auburn (W1), Vanderbilt (L7)


What To Bet and Why:

It seemed like last week Auburn found some rhythm on the offensive side of the ball. Vanderbilt has the worst defense in the SEC. Auburn will be able to score at will by running or passing the ball.


Best Bet:

Auburn O 31.5 Team Total Points



6:30 PM Kickoff


Kentucky at Mississippi State


Game Information:

Location: Davis Wade Stadium

Channel: SECN


Kentucky vs Mississippi State Odds:

Spread: Kentucky -3.5 (-102), Mississippi State +3.5 (-120)

O/U: 45.5

ML: Kentucky -182, Mississippi State +150


Season Performances:

Season Records: Kentucky (5-3), Mississippi State (4-4)

ATS: Kentucky (4-4), Kentucky (2-6)

O/U: Kentucky (6-2), Mississippi State (4-3-1)

Home/Away: Kentucky (1-1 A), Mississippi State (3-2)

Team Streak: Kentucky (L3), Mississippi State (L3)


What To Bet and Why:

Simply put I don't see a way that the Mississippi State defense stops this Kentucky offense. With that being the case the Mississippi State offense will need to put up points to match Kentucky. And with what I've seen from backup quarterback Mike Wright I don't like the Bulldogs chances.


Best Bet:

Kentucky-3.5


7:00 PM Kickoff


#13 LSU at #8 Alabama


Game Information:

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium

Channel: CBS


LSU vs Alabama Odds:

Spread: Alabama -3 (-115), LSU +3 (-105)

O/U: 60.5

ML: Alabama -166, LSU +138


Season Performances:

Season Records: Alabama (7-1), LSU (6-2)

ATS: Alabama (5-3), LSU (5-3)

O/U: Alabama (5-2-1), LSU (8-0)

Home/Away: Alabama (4-1 H), LSU (2-1 A)

Team Streak: Alabama (W6), LSU (W3)


What To Bet and Why:

Don't overthink it. LSU has one of the best offenses in the country and if Alabama wants to keep up with this LSU offense they'll have to put points on the board. Alabama can also take advantage of an LSU defense that's beat up in the secondary and is starting young corners.


Best Bet:

O 60.5


All these numbers are provided by Covers.Com.

 

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