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Writer's pictureWilliam Luke Hendrick

SEC Week 11 Predictions, Best Bets, And Analysis.

Week 10 of SEC play did not disappoint. Alabama and LSU was a back-and-forth game until the very end. Missouri gave Georgia a run for their money until some questionable calls by the officials were made.


We also went 5-3 on our best bet and I promise to be even better this week.


Let's get into the picks and make some money together.


11 AM Kickoffs


#8 Alabama at Kentucky


Game Information:

Location: Kroger Field

Channel: ESPN


Alabama vs Kentucky Odds:

Spread: Alabama -10.5 (-110), Kentucky +10.5 (-110)

O/U: 48 (-110)

ML: Alabama -450, Kentucky +340


Season Performances:

Season Records: Alabama (8-1), Kentucky (6-3)

ATS: Alabama (6-3), Kentucky (5-4)

O/U: Alabama (6-2-1), Kentucky (6-3)

Home/Away: Alabama (3-0 A), Kentucky (4-2)

Team Streak: Alabama (W7), Kentucky (W1)


What To Bet and Why:

It seems like Alabama is improving every week and is more confident than ever after beating LSU to all but wrap up the SEC West race.


Alabama ranks top 15 in the country in pressure rate and should get plenty of pleasure on quarterback Devin Leary who ranks as one of the worst quarterbacks under pressure in the SEC.


Best Bet:

Alabama -10.5


Vanderbilt at South Carolina


Game Information:

Location: Williams-Brice Stadium

Channel: SECN


Vanderbilt vs South Carolina Odds:

Spread: South Carolina -13.5 (-110), Vanderbilt +13.5 (-110)

O/U: 58 (-110)

ML: South Carolina -575, Vanderbilt +400


Season Performances:

Season Records: South Carolina (3-6), Vanderbilt (2-8)

ATS: South Carolina (4-5), Vanderbilt (1-9)

O/U: South Carolina (5-4), Vanderbilt (7-2-1)

Home/Away: South Carolina (3-1), Vanderbilt (0-4)

Team Streak: South Carolina (W1), Vanderbilt (L8)


What To Bet and Why:

Vanderbilt is a struggling football team not only on the field but against the spread as well. They've gone 1-9 ATS on the year and I don't see that being any different here.


South Carolina can do enough behind Spencer Rattler and the passing offense to pull away from the Commodores.


Best Bet:

South Carolina -14


2:30 PM Kickoffs


#17 Tennessee at #12 Missouri


Game Information:

Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field

Channel: CBS


Tennessee vs Missouri Odds:

Spread: Tennessee -1.5 (-110), Missouri +1.5 (-110)

O/U: 58.5 (-110)

ML: Tennessee -120, Missouri +120


Season Performances:

Season Records: Tennessee (7-2), Missouri (7-2)

ATS: Tennessee (6-3), Missouri (6-3)

O/U: Tennessee (5-3-1), Missouri (6-3)

Home/Away: Tennessee (1-2 A), Missouri (4-1 H)

Team Streak: Tennessee (W2), Missouri (L1)


What To Bet and Why:

Vegas has only set the line at -1.5 and wants people to think their getting a steal taking Missouri as a dog at home. Especially after Missouri played Georgia close in Athens.


Don't fall for it people. Take the Vols' and the points.


Best Bet:

Tennessee -1.5


3:00 PM Kickoffs


Auburn at Arkansas


Game Information:

Location: Razorback Stadium

Channel: SECN


Auburn vs Arkansas Odds:

Spread: Arkansas -3 (-110), Auburn +3 (-110)

O/U: 48 (-110)

ML: Arkansas -145, Auburn +125


Season Performances:

Season Records: Arkansas (3-6), Auburn (5-4)

ATS: Arkansas (5-4), Auburn (4-5)

O/U: Arkansas (5-3-1), Auburn (3-5-1)

Home/Away: Arkansas (2-2), Auburn (2-2)

Team Streak: Arkansas (W1), Auburn (W2)


What To Bet and Why:

Arkansas outside of their last week's win vs Florida has been abysmal on offense. They did however let go of the offensive coordinator Dan Enos which led to Arkansas playing more to quarterback K.J. Jefferson's strengths.


However, this is still an Arkansas offense that is bottom of the SEC in sacks allowed per game and sack percentage.


Auburn also leads the SEC in a havoc rate and has forced 14 turnovers which leads the SEC. They also have the best red zone defense in the league.


That will be the difference in Saturday's matchup.


If you want to play it safe take Auburn +3. If you are a riskier better take Auburn on the ML.


Best Bet:

Auburn +3 or Auburn ML +125



6:00 PM Kickoffs


#10 Ole Miss at #2 Georgia


Game Information:

Location: Sanford Stadium

Channel: ESPN


Ole Miss vs Georgia Odds:

Spread: Georgia -11 (-110), Ole Miss +11 (-110)

O/U: 59

ML: Georgia -425, Ole Miss +335


Season Performances:

Season Records: Georgia (9-0), Ole Miss (8-1)

ATS: Georgia (3-6), Ole Miss (6-2-1)

O/U: Georgia (5-4), Ole Miss (4-5)

Home/Away: Georgia (6-0 H), Ole Miss (2-1 A)

Team Streak: Georgia (W10), Ole Miss (W5)


What To Bet and Why:

This isn't the Ole Miss when Lane Kiffin first arrived at Ole Miss.


When he first got there the offense was never an issue but the defense was a liability. That's no longer the case.


It isn't an elite unit by any means but it's improved ranking 50th in the country in scoring defense averaging 24 per game.


They also have one of the most efficient offenses in the nation behind Jaxson Dart and Quinshon Judkins.


They rarely turn the ball over and play a complementary brand of football.


Best Bet:

Ole Miss +11


6:30 PM Kickoffs:


Florida at #14 LSU


Game Information:

Location: Tiger Stadium

Channel: SECN


Florida vs LSU Odds:

Spread: LSU -13.5 (-110), Florida +13.5 (-110)

O/U: 63.5 (-110)

ML: LSU -575, Florida +400


Season Performances:

Season Records: LSU (6-3), Florida (5-4)

ATS: LSU (5-4), Florida (3-6)

O/U: LSU (9-0), Florida (5-3-1)

Home/Away: LSU (4-0 H), Florida (1-2 A)

Team Streak: LSU (L1), Florida (L2)


What To Bet and Why:

Give me the over. LSU has the game total over in every single game this season. Even if Jayden Daniels is out I still have faith that Garrett Nussmeier can make plays with Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr.


Best Bet:

Florida/LSU O 64


Mississippi State at Texas A&M


Game Information:

Location: Kyle Field

Channel: ESPN2


Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Odds:

Spread: Texas A&M -18.5 (-110), Mississippi State +18.5 (-110)

O/U: 43 (-110)

ML: Texas A&M -1300, Mississippi State +760


Season Performances:

Season Records: Texas A&M (5-4), Mississippi State (4-5)

ATS: Texas A&M (4-4-1), Mississippi State (2-7)

O/U: Texas A&M (5-4), Mississippi State (4-4-1)

Home/Away: Texas A&M (4-1 H), Mississippi State (1-2 A)

Team Streak: Texas A&M (L1), Mississippi State (2L)


What To Bet and Why:

Saturday in College Station is expected to be a rainy day which favors the Bulldogs' struggling offense.


Mississippi State has also outright won the last two games vs the Aggies.


This could be a huge upset this Saturday. If Miss St quarterback Will Rodgers is available to play this may be a play on the ML for the Bulldogs.


I'm going to play it safe and take Mississippi State to cover this massive spread.


Best Bet:

Mississippi State +18.5


Lock of The Week:

Florida/LSU O 64


The over has hit in every single LSU game this season. I will continue to bet it until the wheels fall off.

 

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