206 days of pain and suffering without the NFL is finally over. Week one is finally upon us with a full slate of 14 games to bet on. Let's jump right into it.
Diontae Johnson o4.5 Receptions (-120)
Johnson cleared this line in 5 of 9 games last season with Kenny Pickett under centre. Johnson is an elite seperator as he averaged 8.6 targets per game, which ranks 7th of all wide receivers last season. The San Fransisco defence ranked as the best in the league last season, but the way to attack them was in the passing game. San Fran allowed the 9th most receptions to WR with 13 last season. Expecting Kenny Pickett to take the second-year jump, he should start by heavily targeting Diontae.
J.K. Dobbins o56.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Dobbins cleared this line in all 5 of his last 5 games last season once he returned from tweaking his ACL injury. He averaged an impressive 91.3 rush yards per game over that span. In 3 of those 5 games, he faced a top-half rushing defence. This week, Dobbins plays the Texans, a league-high 141.82 rush yards per game to RB last season. Dobbins did all this while never eclipsing a 50% snap share.
Mike Williams o58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Williams cleared this line in 7 of his last 10 games last season, averaging 75.7 yards per game. In his only matchup last season against the Dolphins, Williams finished with 116 yards. The Dolphins allowed 154.47 yards per game last season to wide receivers.
This Dolphins & Chargers matchup has the highest point total of the week set at 51 points. New offensive coordinator Kellen Moore is trying Williams out in the slot, which shows his offensive creativity. Add that to his already impressive deep ball receiving, giving us multiple opportunities to cash this over.
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