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Gritty Gamblers Guide: Super Wildcard Weekend + UFC Fight Night Parlay

Well, the Gritty Gamblers Guide had a very tough week last week we have fallen from 8-13 to 12-25 on our picks (1-2 Parlay record). Austin had a rough start (0-3) with his guest plays. Week 18 is always a tough week to bet since some teams were resting players and some teams with little to play for played hard than expected. However, we get back on the horse.

I hope everyone had a chance to check out the Gritty Gamblers Live show this Monday, If not ill recap my top bets to make sure all of our readers get the right plays.

Super Wildcard Weekend Plays, Team Total Time!

Jags Team Total o22.5

The Jacksonville Jags have quietly been one of the better teams in the league since Week 14 deconstructing the Titans and then their upset overtime win against Dallas in Week 15 and they have gone over this number in three of their last five games (won five straight). Trevor Lawrence is the real deal and Doug Pederson has put him and most of the team members in the best position to succeed. This is such a tight game to call so for straight bet purposes the team total is the safest play. Jags take it in a thriller 28-27.

49ers Team Total o26.5

The Niners are one of the hottest teams in the league right now, by playing this side we don’t have to worry about the Seahawks being dominated by Nick Bosa and one of the NFL’s best defenses. The Seahawks are poor against the run, the tight end, and yards after the catch, plain and simple this is a horrible match-up defensively for Pete Carroll and the Hawks. Brock Purdy seems to fit right into the Shanahan system and has the best weapons group in the league to distribute to. 49ers 34-14.

Bills Team Total o28.5

Skylar Thompson is starting this game for the Dolphins which means they won’t have much time of possession in this game cause Thompson won’t be able to move the chains against this Buffalo team that is still fired up from what happened to Hamlin. The Bills haven’t been their best on offense which has still been enough to score over 30 in their last three games. I think they get their mojo back and put up over 40 here in a game that could be decided by halftime. Bills 41-10.

Bengals Team Total o24.5

Joe Burrow may be the best QB against the spread for the next decade. In his last 26 starts he is 23-3 ATS. The Ravens could be down to their third-string QB which means the Bengals will have a lot of time of possession. Burrow getting extra possessions is a prime recipe for them to score 30. The Ravens have a decent defense but it showed last week it cannot handle this Bengals offensive game. They could’ve scored 50 in that game if not for a couple of drops. The Bengals roll on the Ravens 38-17.

Gritty Gambler’s Parlay Of The Week

Giants ML +137

The Vikings aren’t as good as their record indicates and the Giants are the NFC version of the Titans they hang in and typically cover. The Vikings have such bad defense that even the Giant’s massively understaffed passing attack can take advantage of it. Daniel Jones had one of his best passing games of the season in the 27-24 thrilling loss.

Brian Daboll is a coach who learns a lot from his mistakes, he and Wink Martindale are going to have to come up with a better defensive game plan to contain Jefferson & Hockenson who torched them last time. This one is going to be close Giants +3 is a lean for me as well. The Giants win this one with a last-second field goal to add another heartbreak to the Viking’s ledger 27-24.

Jags ML +120

These are two big-bodied long-haired stud quarterbacks. One has a coach who has been to and won a Super Bowl before and the other has a coach who has continually failed him late in the season. Both teams have playmakers on the defensive side of the ball but the Chargers will most likely be down their most explosive weapon in Mike Williams. While he was out they went 2-6 during the season and the Jags exposed the Chargers in Week Three 38-10. I expect a much better game but the same result this time. The Jags win this one 28-27

Bucs ML +120

Tom Brady is going to do what Tom Brady does and the Cowboys are going to be them Boyz and lose a game they probably should win. Dallas has shown weakness over the past couple of weeks and this is the time of year that Brady earns his title. Brady and Evans link up for a pair of touchdowns, Dak will throw a crucial interception and Brady will move down the field with screens, slants, and dump-offs for a game-winning TD. Bucs win 24-20.

Bengals -9.5

Like I said earlier in the piece Cincy is going to manhandle the Ravens, Baltimore is too banged up and doesn’t have enough talent on either side if the ball to make this less than a two score match-up. I can’t stress enough how much I trust Joe Burrow with my money. Even if he doesn’t cover whatever wager is placed on him (which isn’t often) he comes back the next week and has a great performance. Burrow and Higgins just missed two touchdowns in a game they won by 11. Everything is on the line Joe Bur puts it on the Ravens. 38-17

49ers -9.5

According to my projections, the Niners will win this one big so I hedge myself with their point total and add the spread in my parlay.


In the past 62 NFL Wild-Card playoff games, the outright winner is 54-7-1 ATS (88.5%) 🤯 If you like the favorite = take them to cover If you like the underdog to cover = take them to win (via @vsinlive) pic.twitter.com/sKkXQrUna1 — br_betting (@br_betting) January 12, 2023

This tweet just happens to align perfectly with how I am betting this Super Wild Card Weekend. The odds of this parlay would be +3996 so a ten-dollar wager would net you $399! I placed 25 on my wager, I also bought three points on both spreads to make it 6.5 so a touchdown would cover because that is how I operate.

UCF Fight Night Strickland v Imavov Parlay

Jimmy Flick Win By Submission +500

Charles Johnson is a solid striker who can take a lot of stand-and-bang damage. However, I think this is a bad match-up for Johnson since Flick is such an experienced grappler if this fight moves to the mat early on it spells trouble for Johnson. Flick has won his last four fights and 88% of his finishes have been submissions. I smell an upset here Flick wins by submission in the second round.

Dan Ige ML -135

Dan Ige has his back up against the wall here, the 30-year-old has been on a bad slide for the past two years and his UFC contract could be in jeopardy if he loses. Damon Jackson has been streaking but has much less to lose here. I am expecting a cornered animal mentality here from Ige if he finishes Jackson at the end of the first round.

Sean Strickland +110

Strickland is a warrior but he has lost his last two fights and he just headlined the last Fight Night after less than a month. He needs a win much like Ige, he is also a seasoned veteran who knows what he can do when he has nowhere else to turn. Strickland does enough to win this by a decision.

Conclusion

There you have it fellow Gamblers, I hope that everyone can be as profitable as possible this weekend, thank you for reading.

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