The house may always win in the end, but that doesn’t mean it’ll take every hand. Last year, Vegas had Saquon Barkley’s season rushing prop line set at a mere 1000 yards. Barkley would manage to cash the over in just the 10th game of the season, en route to just the 9th ever 2000 rushing yard season. This goes to show that while the books typically know what they’re doing, some of the lines are just blatantly off. Here are the best season-long props to be taking advantage of for the 2025 NFL season.
Put simply, this line makes absolutely no sense. In 2024, Tee Higgins finished the year with 911 yards, 65 yards short of this line. The kicker? Higgins only played in 12 games last year. 12! He averaged 75 yards a game, putting him in the top 10 in that category last year. The game plan shouldn’t change much this year, as the defense in Cincinnati still looks to be one of the league’s worst. Joe Burrow and company will likely be throwing the ball for all 60 minutes most weeks, which should net plenty of opportunities for the Clemson product.
The only concern here is Higgins’ health. He has missed five games each of the last two seasons, not playing in sixteen contests since the 2022 season. Despite this, Higgins has never missed more than five games in a season. Although he has some injury concerns stemming from the past, they’ve never proved to be serious. Between the shootouts the Bengals will find themselves in and the strong connection with Burrow, injury will be the only thing capable of keeping Higgins under this line.
Herbert is yet to get over the hump and cement himself as a top Quarterback with the other big four in the AFC, but that doesn’t mean he isn’t a good QB. Since coming into the league in 2020, Herbert has been the definition of a gunslinger. He’s cleared this line in 4 of his 5 seasons and gone over 4000 yards in three of those years. The addition of Ladd McConkey last year clicked instantly, and the connection between the two should only grow. The front office also added 2 offensive weapons in the draft, RB Omarion Hampton and WR Tre Harris. Herbert has cleared this line easily with far worse weapons before; doing so with the current cast shouldn’t be hard for him.
Injuries are the only realistic way Herbert misses this line, but there’s little concern there. Herbert has only missed four games to injury in his five-year NFL career. Of course, anything can happen, but the former Oregon Duck is built as tough as they come. With a fresh supporting cast and a team looking to finally make a run, Herbert is in for a big year.
Everyone’s favorite fantasy football breakout star is here, and for good reason. Irving started his rookie season as the understudy to veteran Rachaad White. Still, the rookie made the most of every touch he got. In 17 games last year, Irving had a yards per carry below 4.0 in only four of those games. The coaching staff finally took notice late in the year, as the rookie had double-digit carries in seven of the final eight games, after only eclipsing that twice in the first half of the season. If this wasn’t enough, Irving also eclipsed this line by over 100 yards last year, while only being the lead back for half a year.
The Oregon product put up insanely efficient numbers last year and will only look to build off his strong debut campaign. With his takeover as RB1 in Tampa Bay, there aren’t many scenarios, if any, where Irving doesn’t pick up his second 1000-yard rushing season.
Of course, anything can happen; that’s the beauty of sports after all. Still, it seems Vegas is heavily underestimating these players heading into the 2025 NFL season. All of Higgins, Herbert, and Irving either cleared these lines last year or came close in limited games. As long as the injury bug is kind to these three, this card should be a clean 3-0 come January. Regardless, it’s important to remember this is gambling after all, and nothing is ever guaranteed.
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